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人民币实际有效汇率连跌3月

    9月份以来人民币实际有效汇率连续3个月贬值。国际清算银行16日公布的数据显示,11月人民币实际有效汇率指数为114.23,较10月末的115.19下跌0.84%;人民币名义有效汇率为110.91,环比下跌0.63%。

    人民币实际有效汇率从3月开始,连续环比下跌5个月。虽然在8月出现单月环比小幅回升,但随后美元的弱势导致人民币实际有效汇率走低。分析人士表示,11月,美元指数呈盘整下跌走势,跌幅逾2%。人民币软盯住美元的策略导致实际有效汇率下跌。

    12月,美元指数强劲反弹,但人民币兑美元走势仍维持稳定。分析人士认为,在中国出口出现强劲复苏之前,人民币对美元名义有效汇率将持续稳定。明年1季度之后,人民币可能会小幅升值。

    来源:中国证券报

    撰稿人:任晓

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发布日期:2009-12-17

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